U.S. Department of Energy

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

Land Use and Land Cover Change

The LULCC module affords more realistic, dynamically linked projections of future land use and land cover change across the PRIMA framework. An additional, long-term goal for the LULLC module is to improve representation of economic and biophysical feedbacks, which are lacking in current land use assessment models.

POC: Tris West

Reference:

West TO, Y Le Page, M Huang, J Wolf, and AM Thomson. 2014. “Downscaling global land cover projections from an integrated assessment model for use in regional analyses: results and evaluation for the US from 2005 to 2095.” Environmental Research Letters 9(6):064004. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/6/064004.

West TO. 2011. “Mitigation: Monitoring Informs Management.” Nature Climate Change 1(11):399-400. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1268.

A spatially explicit Land Use and Land Cover Change (LULCC) module is being developed to downscale the economically constrained state-level projections of future land use produced by GCAM-USA. The resulting gridded representations of future land cover change will be used by the regional climate and water supply models to evaluate land surface responses—including vegetation structure, carbon fluxes, and water demand—to changing climate.

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